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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
35.15% ( 3.75) | 28.16% ( -0.55) | 36.68% ( -3.2) |
Both teams to score 47.29% ( 2.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.13% ( 2.45) | 58.87% ( -2.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.63% ( 1.86) | 79.37% ( -1.86) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.28% ( 3.88) | 31.72% ( -3.87) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.86% ( 4.22) | 68.14% ( -4.22) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( -0.71) | 30.74% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( -0.84) | 67% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.19% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( 0.72) 2-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.72) 3-1 @ 2.9% ( 0.54) 3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.5) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.29) Other @ 2.87% Total : 35.14% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.94) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.35) Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.16% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -1.35) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.95) 1-3 @ 3.06% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.43) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 36.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
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