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AFC Wimbledon
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Tranmere Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 14, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Prenton Park
Crewe Alexandra

Tranmere
3 - 0
Crewe

Simeu (22'), Nevitt (56', 90')
Merrie (52')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Tranmere Rovers and Crewe Alexandra, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Tranmere Rovers 1-0 Crewe Alexandra

With Tranmere on such an impressive run of form, it is difficult to see past them making it five consecutive wins on Friday. Crewe will not make it easy for them however, having taken decent points away at Carlisle United and Bradford City, and so we expect Tranmere to win by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tranmere Rovers would win this match.

Result
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
53.27% (0.045999999999999 0.05) 24.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 21.76% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 48.32% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.48% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)53.52% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.96% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)75.03% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.93% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)20.07% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.7% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)52.3% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.45% (-0.11 -0.11)39.55% (0.105 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.77% (-0.101 -0.1)76.23% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Tranmere Rovers 53.26%
    Crewe Alexandra 21.76%
    Draw 24.96%
Tranmere RoversDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 12.74% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.23% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.5% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 5.48% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.26%
1-1 @ 11.82%
0-0 @ 7.94% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 24.96%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-2 @ 5.49% (-0.015 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.7% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 21.76%

How you voted: Tranmere vs Crewe

Tranmere Rovers
81.3%
Draw
4.2%
Crewe Alexandra
14.6%
48
Head to Head
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 17, 2018 3pm
Crewe
3-2
Tranmere
Ainley (20', 51'), Kirk (67')
Norwood (36'), Banks (83')
Mullin (79'), Banks (89'), Norwood (89')
Sep 4, 2018 7.45pm
Tranmere
3-4
Crewe
Harris (45'), Stockton (45'), Mullin (46')
Gilmour (80'), Jennings (90')
Porter (20', 85'), Nicholls (73'), Jones (86')
Ray (79')
Jan 25, 2014 3pm
Tranmere
1-0
Crewe
Pennington (28')
Kennedy (36'), Koumas (83')

Evans (37'), Mellor (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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