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Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2022 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Mansfield Town

Crewe
1 - 2
Mansfield

Baker-Richardson (70')
Leshabela (33'), Sambou (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Swan (87'), Hawkins (90+3')
Clarke (38'), Quinn (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, September 17 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Mansfield
Tuesday, September 20 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Mansfield Town

In what is shaping up to be an entertaining clash, Crewe will likely attack from the off as they look to put a dent in Mansfield's early playoff hopes. It has been a mixed start for Crewe, but as they begin to pick up form, it is hard to look beyond the hosts for three points this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 55.1%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 20.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.67%) and 1-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
20.38% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 24.52% (0.004999999999999 0) 55.1% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Both teams to score 47.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.67% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)53.33% (0.012 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)74.87% (0.01100000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)40.87% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)77.44% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.73% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)19.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49% (-0.012 -0.01)51% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 20.38%
    Mansfield Town 55.08%
    Draw 24.52%
Crewe AlexandraDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.28%
3-0 @ 0.94% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 20.38%
1-1 @ 11.6%
0-0 @ 7.88% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 24.52%
0-1 @ 12.96%
0-2 @ 10.67%
1-2 @ 9.55% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-3 @ 5.86% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.16% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 55.08%

How you voted: Crewe vs Mansfield

Crewe Alexandra
47.1%
Draw
23.5%
Mansfield Town
29.4%
17
Head to Head
Mar 14, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Crewe
1-1
Mansfield
Anene (8')
Cook (27')
MacDonald (83'), Preston (84')
Oct 8, 2019 7.45pm
Mansfield
1-1
Crewe
Crewe win 4-3 on penalties
Knowles (18')
Cook (27')
Finney (45')
Johnson (30'), Finney (87')
Mar 23, 2019 3pm
Mansfield
1-2
Crewe
Pearce (92')
Mellis (40'), Bishop (50'), Preston (57'), Pearce (59')
Ainley (71', 84')
Ng (35'), Green (50'), Nolan (58'), Taylor-Sinclair (67'), Garratt (93')
Oct 30, 2018 7.45pm
Crewe
0-3
Mansfield

Ray (51'), Ng (55')
Elsnik (8', 35'), Walker (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918


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