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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
56.36% ( 1.58) | 23.29% ( -0.36) | 20.34% ( -1.21) |
Both teams to score 51.34% ( -0.62) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.5% ( 0.05) | 48.5% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.37% ( 0.05) | 70.63% ( -0.04) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.99% ( 0.59) | 17.01% ( -0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.86% ( 1.03) | 47.14% ( -1.03) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.86% ( -1.19) | 38.14% ( 1.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.09% ( -1.17) | 74.9% ( 1.18) |
Score Analysis |
Sutton United | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.33) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.97% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.14) Other @ 1% Total : 23.29% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.53% Total : 20.34% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 43 |
4 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
5 | Bradford CityBradford | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 41 |
6 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
7 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
8 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 23 | 37 | -14 | 28 |
17 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
19 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 19 | 39 | -20 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |