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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Tranmere Rovers

Sutton
1 - 1
Tranmere

John (88')
Smith (45+1'), Coley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goodliffe (17' og.)
Wood (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Tranmere Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sutton United 1-1 Tranmere Rovers

With so much at stake at the bottom of the table, this could be a scrappy encounter, although both teams have at least claimed positive results heading into the clash. Sutton showed excellent spirit to come from behind to claim a point against Colchester last time out, and we can envisage them sharing the spoils once again versus Adkins' Tranmere side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 56.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 20.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
56.36% (1.578 1.58) 23.29% (-0.362 -0.36) 20.34% (-1.209 -1.21)
Both teams to score 51.34% (-0.621 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.5% (0.052 0.05)48.5% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.37% (0.047000000000001 0.05)70.63% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (0.592 0.59)17.01% (-0.585 -0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (1.033 1.03)47.14% (-1.026 -1.03)
Tranmere Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.86% (-1.194 -1.19)38.14% (1.201 1.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09% (-1.172 -1.17)74.9% (1.179 1.18)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 56.35%
    Tranmere Rovers 20.34%
    Draw 23.29%
Sutton UnitedDrawTranmere Rovers
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 10.17% (0.359 0.36)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.01% (0.328 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.79% (0.134 0.13)
3-2 @ 2.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.66% (0.193 0.19)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.107 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.085 0.09)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.055 0.06)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 56.35%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.17 -0.17)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.137 -0.14)
Other @ 1%
Total : 23.29%
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.219 -0.22)
1-2 @ 5.34% (-0.261 -0.26)
0-2 @ 3.01% (-0.209 -0.21)
1-3 @ 1.72% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-3 @ 1.52% (-0.096 -0.1)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 20.34%

How you voted: Sutton vs Tranmere

Sutton United
50.0%
Draw
45.5%
Tranmere Rovers
4.5%
22
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Tranmere
2-2
Sutton
Hawkes (39'), Hemmings (58')
Smith (11', 61')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Sutton
0-2
Tranmere
Hemmings (19' pen.), Lewis (45+4')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Sutton
1-1
Tranmere
Goodliffe (15')
Hawkes (68')
Nevitt (47')
Nov 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 16
Tranmere
0-1
Sutton
Olaofe (71')
Goodliffe (66'), Bennett (82')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Sutton
1-3
Tranmere
Davis (25')
Collins (42'), Eastmond (54'), Downer (61'), Walton (94')
Buxton (10'), Jennings (44'), Cook (90')
Buxton (40'), Banks (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
4Salford City24126629191042
5Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
6Port Vale2511862925441
7AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
8Notts County24117638261240
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
14Gillingham2493122225-330
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Harrogate TownHarrogate2684142337-1428
17Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
18Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
19Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
21Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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