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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Swindon Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Swindon

Muldoon (65')
Dooley (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (25')
Kinsella (27'), Kokolo (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 2-4 Stockport
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-1 Swindon Town

Although their places in the table indicate two well-matched teams, that is not the case when it comes to form. While Swindon may turn things around at some stage, we are backing Harrogate to collect another victory that will move them closer to the top seven. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 55.02%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.76%) and 0-1 (7.72%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 2-1 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
23.45% (-1.768 -1.77) 21.53% (-0.786 -0.79) 55.02% (2.553 2.55)
Both teams to score 61.77% (0.72900000000001 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.23% (1.876 1.88)36.77% (-1.878 -1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (2.01 2.01)58.93% (-2.012 -2.01)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.33% (-0.366 -0.37)28.67% (0.364 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.51% (-0.459 -0.46)64.49% (0.45700000000001 0.46)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.6% (1.456 1.46)13.4% (-1.459 -1.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.67% (2.85 2.85)40.33% (-2.852 -2.85)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 23.45%
    Swindon Town 55.02%
    Draw 21.53%
Harrogate TownDrawSwindon Town
2-1 @ 6.03% (-0.36 -0.36)
1-0 @ 4.8% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 3% (-0.352 -0.35)
3-2 @ 2.52% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.51% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.161 -0.16)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 23.45%
1-1 @ 9.65% (-0.464 -0.46)
2-2 @ 6.06% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.364 -0.36)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.53%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.76% (0.116 0.12)
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.296 -0.3)
1-3 @ 6.5% (0.363 0.36)
0-3 @ 5.2% (0.34 0.34)
2-3 @ 4.06% (0.187 0.19)
1-4 @ 3.27% (0.341 0.34)
0-4 @ 2.61% (0.296 0.3)
2-4 @ 2.04% (0.194 0.19)
1-5 @ 1.31% (0.198 0.2)
0-5 @ 1.05% (0.167 0.17)
Other @ 3.81%
Total : 55.02%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Swindon

Harrogate Town
16.7%
Draw
66.7%
Swindon Town
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Swindon
3-0
Harrogate
Hepburn-Murphy (8', 40'), Tomlinson (78')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Harrogate
3-0
Swindon
Pattison (43'), Daly (51'), Muldoon (76')
Burrell (10'), Dooley (28'), Austerfield (61')
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Harrogate
1-4
Swindon
Armstrong (90+4')
Austerfield (90+1')
Barry (24', 30'), Davison (51', 63')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Swindon
1-1
Harrogate
Payne (83' pen.)
Odimayo (90+6'), Iandolo (90+6')
Diamond (24')
Falkingham (66'), Page (75'), Hall (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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