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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 35.29%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 35.21% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.25%) and 0-2 (6.74%). The likeliest Walsall win was 1-0 (12.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Walsall | Draw | Sutton United |
35.21% ( 0.16) | 29.5% ( -0.04) | 35.29% ( -0.13) |
Both teams to score 43.48% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.49% ( 0.12) | 63.5% ( -0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.17% ( 0.08) | 82.83% ( -0.09) |
Walsall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.91% ( 0.17) | 34.09% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.23% ( 0.18) | 70.77% ( -0.19) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.96% ( -0.02) | 34.04% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.28% ( -0.03) | 70.72% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Walsall | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.48% 2-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.21% | 1-1 @ 13.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.6% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.49% | 0-1 @ 12.5% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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