We said: Sutton United 1-1 Grimsby Town
Sutton's home form has been excellent this season, but Grimsby have also won seven times on their travels, so we are expecting a close match on Tuesday night. Grimsby have shown that they are capable of picking up some big results this season, so we are tipping the Mariners to avoid defeat here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 51.26%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 22.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.