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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Crawley Town

Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley

Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mutch (38'), Roles (61'), Lynch (72'), Addai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Crawley Town

 Crawley are rarely thrashed despite their lowly league position, but we expect Sutton to continue their strong form by squeezing out a vital victory. Gray's side have won 10 league games at home this season, whereas Crawley have been defeated in 11 of their winless 17 trips away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
61.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 45.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)52.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.017000000000003 0.02)73.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)46.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)45.44% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 61.43%
    Crawley Town 15.95%
    Draw 22.61%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 61.43%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Sutton vs Crawley

Sutton United
92.1%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall24174348212755
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe251110433221143
3Salford City24126629191042
4Port Vale2511862925441
5AFC Wimbledon23124735191640
6Notts County24117638261240
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster2511773530540
8Bradford CityBradford2410863327638
9Grimsby Town25121123640-437
10Chesterfield249783829934
11MK Dons2310493631534
12Bromley2481063530534
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham248793436-231
14Gillingham2393112224-230
15BarrowBarrow2477102326-328
16Fleetwood TownFleetwood226972828027
17Colchester UnitedColchester2451272828027
18Newport CountyNewport2375113040-1026
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2367103240-825
20Swindon TownSwindon26510113141-1025
21Harrogate TownHarrogate2574142137-1625
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2467111837-1925
23Morecambe2455142239-1720
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2446141938-1918
> League Two Full Table


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