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Championship header 2

League Two
Sutton United
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground
Crawley Town

Sutton
3 - 0
Crawley

Bugiel (40', 47'), Angol (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mutch (38'), Roles (61'), Lynch (72'), Addai (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Sutton United and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-0 Crawley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Sutton United 2-1 Crawley Town

 Crawley are rarely thrashed despite their lowly league position, but we expect Sutton to continue their strong form by squeezing out a vital victory. Gray's side have won 10 league games at home this season, whereas Crawley have been defeated in 11 of their winless 17 trips away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 61.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Crawley Town had a probability of 15.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.17%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Crawley Town win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sutton United would win this match.

Result
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
61.44% (0.010999999999996 0.01) 22.61% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 15.95% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Both teams to score 45.54% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.89% (0.019999999999996 0.02)52.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.16% (0.017000000000003 0.02)73.83% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.48% (0.010000000000005 0.01)16.52% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.73% (0.018999999999998 0.02)46.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.55% (0.007000000000005 0.01)45.44% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)81.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sutton United 61.43%
    Crawley Town 15.95%
    Draw 22.61%
Sutton UnitedDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 13.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 12.17%
2-1 @ 9.6% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 61.43%
1-1 @ 10.66%
0-0 @ 7.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 22.61%
0-1 @ 5.92% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 4.2%
0-2 @ 2.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.11%
2-3 @ 1% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 15.95%

How you voted: Sutton vs Crawley

Sutton United
92.1%
Draw
0.0%
Crawley Town
7.9%
38
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Crawley
1-2
Sutton
Oteh (90+5')
Craig (69')
Kizzi (61'), Milsom (70' pen.)
Apr 26, 2022 7.45pm
Sutton
3-0
Crawley
Smith (4', 86'), Bennett (7')
Barden (35')

Davies (34'), Oteh (52'), Nadesan (90+2')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Crawley
0-1
Sutton

Dallison (19'), Francillette (83')
Olaofe (84')
John (75'), Milsom (75'), Bouzanis (76'), Boldewijn (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513
> League Two Full Table


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