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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Wrexham AFC

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Wrexham

Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon put in a spirited performance when they managed to defeat Championship promotion hopefuls Coventry on Wednesday night, which should give them confidence heading into a tough game. However, despite their opening day defeat, Wrexham should have enough quality to get their first league win on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
26.73% (0.176 0.18) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 47.87% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.15600000000001 0.16)33.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.166 0.17)70.37% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.115 -0.12)54.3% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.73%
    Wrexham 47.86%
    Draw 25.4%
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.86%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Wrexham
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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