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AFC Wimbledon
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kingsmeadow
Wrexham AFC

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Wrexham

Tilley (81' pen.)
Bugiel (40'), Jackson (41'), Lewis (48'), Pell (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lee (22')
Boyle (56'), Lee (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between AFC Wimbledon and Wrexham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: AFC Wimbledon 1-2 Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon put in a spirited performance when they managed to defeat Championship promotion hopefuls Coventry on Wednesday night, which should give them confidence heading into a tough game. However, despite their opening day defeat, Wrexham should have enough quality to get their first league win on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 47.87%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.33%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
26.73% (0.176 0.18) 25.4% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 47.87% (-0.191 -0.19)
Both teams to score 52.14% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.95% (0.027999999999999 0.03)51.05% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.09% (0.025000000000002 0.03)72.91% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28% (0.15600000000001 0.16)33.72% (-0.15 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63% (0.166 0.17)70.37% (-0.16199999999999 -0.16)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.66% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)21.34% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.7% (-0.115 -0.12)54.3% (0.119 0.12)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 26.73%
    Wrexham 47.86%
    Draw 25.4%
AFC WimbledonDrawWrexham
1-0 @ 7.82% (0.025 0.03)
2-1 @ 6.57% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.25% (0.031 0.03)
3-1 @ 2.38% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 26.73%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.4%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 9.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.58% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.81% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.61% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.86% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.71% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 47.86%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Wrexham

AFC Wimbledon
28.6%
Draw
42.9%
Wrexham
28.6%
7
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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