Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
40.4% ( -0) | 25.87% ( 0) | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( -0) | 49.93% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( -0) | 71.92% ( 0) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0) | 24.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0) | 58.82% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( -0) | 28.19% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -0) | 63.88% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 36 | 10 | 26 | 32 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 26 |
3 | Marseille | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 23 |
4 | Lille | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 22 |
5 | Nice | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
6 | Lyon | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
7 | Auxerre | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 19 |
8 | Reims | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 18 |
9 | Lens | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
10 | Toulouse | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 24 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 16 | 22 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 25 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Le HavreLe Havre | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Rennes | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 11 |
16 | NantesNantes | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
17 | Angers | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | 32 | -21 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |