Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
40.4% ( -0) | 25.87% ( 0) | 33.73% |
Both teams to score 54.28% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.06% ( -0) | 49.93% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.08% ( -0) | 71.92% ( 0) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.6% ( -0) | 24.4% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.18% ( -0) | 58.82% ( 0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.81% ( -0) | 28.19% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.11% ( -0) | 63.88% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Monaco |
1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.67% 2-0 @ 6.84% 3-1 @ 4.07% 3-0 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.14% 4-2 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.4% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-2 @ 5.51% 1-3 @ 3.28% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.76% Total : 33.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 19 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 49 | 17 | 32 | 47 |
2 | Marseille | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 40 | 23 | 17 | 37 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 34 |
4 | Nice | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Lille | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 32 |
6 | Lyon | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 30 |
7 | Lens | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 18 | 5 | 30 |
8 | Brest | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 28 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 27 |
10 | Toulouse | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 25 |
11 | Auxerre | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 23 |
12 | Reims | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 22 |
13 | Angers | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 22 |
14 | NantesNantes | 19 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 18 |
15 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 39 | -21 | 18 |
16 | Rennes | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 17 |
17 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 15 |
18 | Le HavreLe Havre | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 13 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |