MX23RW : Sunday, January 12 11:59:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II
AJ Auxerre

Monaco
3 - 2
Auxerre

Ben Yedder (11'), Ben Seghir (30'), Embolo (82')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Abline (68'), da Costa (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Marseille 1-1 Monaco
Saturday, January 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-0 Auxerre

Monaco are the second-highest scorers in Ligue 1, while Auxerre have the second-worst defensive record in the division, so the hosts look set to claim a comfortable victory on Wednesday, condemning the visitors to a seventh straight league defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 66.12%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 15.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.73%), while for an Auxerre win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawAuxerre
66.12% (0.127 0.13) 18.84% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06) 15.04% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 55.73% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.52% (0.155 0.16)37.49% (-0.153 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.29% (0.16699999999999 0.17)59.71% (-0.165 -0.16)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.45% (0.078000000000003 0.08)10.55% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.72% (0.17 0.17)34.29% (-0.167 -0.17)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.012 0.01)37.7% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.52% (0.012 0.01)74.48% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 66.12%
    Auxerre 15.05%
    Draw 18.84%
MonacoDrawAuxerre
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.95% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.24% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.14% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.59% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.012 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.91% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.86% (0.016 0.02)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 66.12%
1-1 @ 8.73% (-0.034000000000001 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-0 @ 3.98% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 18.84%
1-2 @ 4.26% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-1 @ 3.88% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.89% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 15.05%

How you voted: Monaco vs Auxerre

Monaco
88.9%
Draw
7.9%
Auxerre
3.2%
63
Head to Head
Dec 28, 2022 4pm
Auxerre
2-3
Monaco
Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille17113339201936
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Nice1786335231230
5Lille1777226161028
6Lyon178452922728
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims175572325-220
13Rennes1752102325-217
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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