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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
AJ Auxerre
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 4pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
Monaco

Auxerre
2 - 3
Monaco

Niang (30' pen.), Fofana (68' og.)
Jeanvier (34')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ben Yedder (45+3' pen.), Ben Seghir (58', 85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Auxerre and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 5-0 Auxerre
Sunday, November 13 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Leeds 2-4 Monaco
Wednesday, December 21 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Auxerre 0-1 Monaco

Monaco look a lot more compact on the road than they do at Stade Louis II, and their creativity in the midfield, along with some in-form strikers, should make it difficult for Auxerre to get a foothold in this game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 29.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (7.58%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
AuxerreDrawMonaco
29.46% (2.752 2.75) 24.79% (0.205 0.21) 45.75% (-2.963 -2.96)
Both teams to score 56.06% (1.34 1.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (0.83300000000001 0.83)46.81% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (0.775 0.77)69.06% (-0.78 -0.78)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.54% (2.471 2.47)29.45% (-2.476 -2.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.54% (2.92 2.92)65.46% (-2.925 -2.93)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (-0.92 -0.92)20.52% (0.916 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (-1.474 -1.47)53.02% (1.469 1.47)
Score Analysis
    Auxerre 29.46%
    Monaco 45.75%
    Draw 24.78%
AuxerreDrawMonaco
1-0 @ 7.39% (0.241 0.24)
2-1 @ 7.15% (0.504 0.5)
2-0 @ 4.52% (0.436 0.44)
3-1 @ 2.91% (0.384 0.38)
3-2 @ 2.31% (0.246 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.84% (0.287 0.29)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 29.46%
1-1 @ 11.7% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 6.05% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.247 0.25)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.099 0.1)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.78%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.627 -0.63)
1-2 @ 9.27% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 7.58% (-0.729 -0.73)
1-3 @ 4.89% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-3 @ 4% (-0.511 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.049 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.162 -0.16)
0-4 @ 1.58% (-0.254 -0.25)
2-4 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 45.75%

How you voted: Auxerre vs Monaco

Auxerre
7.1%
Draw
11.9%
Monaco
81.0%
84
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille16103337191833
3MonacoMonaco1794428181031
4Lille1777226161028
5Lyon178452922728
6Nice1676331211027
7Lens166641915424
8Toulouse167361817124
9Brest177192630-422
10Auxerre176372426-221
11StrasbourgStrasbourg165562828020
12Reims165562121020
13Rennes165292223-117
14NantesNantes173772027-716
15Angers164481626-1016
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1651101535-2016
17Le HavreLe Havre1640121234-2212
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1623111539-249


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