MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 05:13:00| >> :120:32472:32472:
Ajax
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 8pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA

Ajax
5 - 0
M. Tel Aviv

Traore (14'), Taylor (27'), Godts (39'), Brobbey (61'), Fitz-Jim (69')
Taylor (43'), Wijndal (82'), Henderson (90')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Kanichowsky (26'), Lazetic (27'), Addo (86'), Pinto Batista (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ajax and Maccabi Tel Aviv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ajax 3-2 PSV
Saturday, November 2 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 0-1 Ironi
Saturday, November 2 at 3.30pm in Israeli Premier League

We said: Ajax 3-1 Maccabi Tel Aviv

It is difficult to ignore Ajax's strong home form and good overall showings in the Europa League so far, and they should be favourites on Thursday. It would not be surprising if the hosts scored multiple goals against Maccabi Tel Aviv given the visitors have struggled away from home recently. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 16.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.93%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
64.34% (-0.0020000000000095 -0) 19.36% (0.0020000000000024 0) 16.3% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 56.89% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)37.42% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.36% (0.0019999999999953 0)59.64% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.02%10.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64.75% (0.00099999999999056 0)35.26% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)36.09% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.13% (0.004999999999999 0)72.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 64.34%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 16.3%
    Draw 19.36%
AjaxDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 7.25%
3-0 @ 7.12% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 4.01%
4-0 @ 3.93%
3-2 @ 3.7%
4-2 @ 2.04%
5-1 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.74%
5-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 64.34%
1-1 @ 8.93%
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.97%
3-3 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.36%
1-2 @ 4.55%
0-1 @ 4.04%
0-2 @ 2.06% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.71%
1-3 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 16.3%

How you voted: Ajax vs M. Tel Aviv

Ajax
92.7%
Draw
4.0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.3%
150
rhs 2.0
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