MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 11:07:18| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 at 3.45pm UK
Amsterdam ArenA
Willem II

Ajax
1 - 0
Willem II

Klaassen (6' pen.)
Gaaei (54')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and Willem II, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Willem II

All competitions
Last Game: Willem II 0-0 Sittard
Sunday, October 20 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

We said: Ajax 4-1 Willem II

 Having lost just three times this season, Willem II will back themselves to earn something from this contest. Nevertheless, Ajax are building up a head of steam, leading us to predict a one-sided victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 76.59%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 8.52%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.41%) and 1-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.06%), while for a Willem II win it was 0-1 (2.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
AjaxDrawWillem II
76.59% (0.016999999999996 0.02) 14.9%8.52% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 47.52% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.24% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)36.76% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.07% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)58.93% (0.061 0.06)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)7.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.96% (-0.02300000000001 -0.02)28.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Willem II Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.61% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)48.39% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.49% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)83.51% (0.052000000000007 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajax 76.58%
    Willem II 8.52%
    Draw 14.9%
AjaxDrawWillem II
2-0 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.41% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.73% (0.022 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 7.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 6.59% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 4.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 3.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 2.43% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 76.58%
1-1 @ 7.06% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.84% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.25% (-0.0079999999999996 -0.01)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 14.9%
0-1 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 2.56% (-0.004 -0)
0-2 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 8.52%

How you voted: Ajax vs Willem II

Ajax
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Willem II
6.5%
46
Head to Head
Feb 19, 2022 5.45pm
Gameweek 21
Willem II
0-1
Ajax

Crowley (34')
Maduro (81')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Ajax
5-0
Willem II
Antony (15', 23'), Martinez (18'), Klaassen (71'), Danilo (76')

Saddiki (56'), Yeboah (89'), Kohn (89')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 19
Ajax
3-1
Willem II
Klaassen (51'), Brobbey (83'), Tadic (87')
Schuurs (89'), Blind (90+1')
Pavlidis (62')
> Preview
Dec 23, 2020 5.45pm
Gameweek 14
Willem II
1-1
Ajax
Okyere Wriedt (54')
Antony (4')
Antony (66')
> Preview
Apr 26, 2020 1.30pm
Gameweek 32
Willem II
P-P
Ajax
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214
> Eredivisie Full Table


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