Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 7pm UK
Johan Cruijff Arena
Ajax3 - 0Jagiellonia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Jagiellonia 1-4 Ajax
Thursday, August 22 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 22 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Katowice 3-1 Jagiellonia
Sunday, August 25 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Sunday, August 25 at 1.45pm in Polish Ekstraklasa
Goals
for
for
10
We said: Ajax 2-1 Jagiellonia Bialystok (Ajax win 6-2 on aggregate)
Having almost ensured qualification last week, Ajax can afford to keep something in reserve ahead of Sunday's Klassieker - the first of Francesco Farioli's tenure. Even if changes are made, they should still overcome an ailing Jagiellonia side that cannot stop leaking goals and will be bereft of confidence. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.62%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Jagiellonia Bialystok had a probability of 13.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (8.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Jagiellonia Bialystok win it was 1-2 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajax | Draw | Jagiellonia Bialystok |
69.62% ( -0.02) | 17.21% ( 0) | 13.17% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.57% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
