We said: Anderlecht 2-0 Ludogorets Razgrad
Despite a poor result at the weekend, Anderlecht will be favourites for this one given their excellent start in Europe, and the factor of home advantage.
Ludogorets are notoriously poor travellers on the continent, and with no win in 13 away from home in Europe, facing a side with a 100% record so far is not ideal.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Anderlecht in this match.