MX23RW : Monday, January 20 23:14:11| >> :120:12946:12946:
Anderlecht
Europa League | League Stage
Oct 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Lotto Park
Ludogorets

Anderlecht
2 - 0
Ludogorets

Edozie (67'), Dreyer (90+4')
Degreef (28'), Foket (80'), Sardella (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Verdon (41'), Chochev (45+3'), Naressi (45+4'), Rick (45+5'), Jovicevic (45+6'), Bonmann (64'), Padt (90+7')
Vidal (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Anderlecht and Ludogorets Razgrad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Beerschot VA 2-1 Anderlecht
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Plzen 0-0 Ludogorets
Thursday, October 3 at 8pm in Europa League

We said: Anderlecht 2-0 Ludogorets Razgrad

Despite a poor result at the weekend, Anderlecht will be favourites for this one given their excellent start in Europe, and the factor of home advantage. Ludogorets are notoriously poor travellers on the continent, and with no win in 13 away from home in Europe, facing a side with a 100% record so far is not ideal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 44.23%. A win for Anderlecht had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Anderlecht win was 2-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Anderlecht in this match.

Result
AnderlechtDrawLudogorets Razgrad
31.42% (0.044999999999998 0.04) 24.34% (0.02 0.02) 44.23% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 58.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.12% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)43.88% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.74% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)66.26% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Anderlecht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.31%26.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.06% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)61.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Ludogorets Razgrad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)19.98% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.84% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)52.16% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Anderlecht 31.42%
    Ludogorets Razgrad 44.23%
    Draw 24.34%
AnderlechtDrawLudogorets Razgrad
2-1 @ 7.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.05% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.65% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.3% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.05% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 31.42%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-0 @ 5.33% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.34%
1-2 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.59% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.9% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.97% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.49% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 44.23%

How you voted: Anderlecht vs Ludogorets

Anderlecht
80.8%
Draw
13.1%
Ludogorets Razgrad
6.1%
99
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 2nd Leg
Anderlecht
2-1
Ludogorets
(Aggregate 2-2 | Anderlecht win 3-0 on penalties)
Russo (13' og.), Verschaeren (68')
Thiago (71')
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Ludogorets
1-0
Anderlecht
Thiago (9')
rhs 2.0
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