Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Arbroath and Kelty Hearts.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Stenhousemuir 2-0 Arbroath
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, February 22 at 5.30pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-1 Inverness
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
29
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 50.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 24.58%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Kelty Hearts win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
50.76% ( 0.73) | 24.65% ( -0.14) | 24.58% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.36% ( 0.07) | 49.64% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.34% ( 0.06) | 71.65% ( -0.06) |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.44% ( 0.33) | 19.55% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.53% ( 0.53) | 51.47% ( -0.53) |
| Kelty Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.25% ( -0.47) | 34.75% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.52% ( -0.5) | 71.48% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
Arbroath 50.76%
Kelty Hearts 24.58%
Draw 24.65%
| Arbroath | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 5.2% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.13)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.12% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 2.01% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.65% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.11% Total : 24.58% |
Head to Head
Dec 17, 2024 7.45pm
Aug 17, 2024 3pm
Jul 24, 2021 3pm
Group Stage
Arbroath
3-2
Kelty Hearts
Form Guide
