Arbroath

3 - 2

Kelty Hearts

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arbroath win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 30.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arbroath win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arbroath would win this match.