Argentina2 - 0Canada
The Match
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Friday, July 5 at 2am in Copa America
We said: Argentina 2-0 Canada
The Canadians have been one of the most captivating stories at this tournament, but fairytales do not always have a happy ending. Canada gave Argentina a stiff test in the opening game of this tournament, but there are far too many match-winners that La Seleccion can call upon when compared to the Canucks. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 61.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Canada had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.12%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Argentina in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Argentina.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
61.74% ( -10.48) | 21.55% ( 3.88) | 16.71% ( 6.6) |
| Both teams to score 50.27% ( 6.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.41% ( -1.93) | 46.59% ( 1.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.14% ( -1.83) | 68.86% ( 1.83) |
| Argentina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.45% ( -3.59) | 14.55% ( 3.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.4% ( -7.39) | 42.6% ( 7.39) |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.84% ( 9.14) | 41.16% ( -9.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.3% ( 7.17) | 77.7% ( -7.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Argentina | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 11.54% ( -0.65) 2-0 @ 11.12% ( -2.35)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.62)3-0 @ 7.15% ( -2.78)3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.48)4-0 @ 3.45% ( -2.04)4-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.71)3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.47)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.06)5-0 @ 1.33% ( -1.1)5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.49)Other @ 2.52% Total : 61.73% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( 1.86) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.47)2-2 @ 4.38% ( 1.2)Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.54% | 0-1 @ 5.32% ( 1.53) 1-2 @ 4.55% ( 1.67)0-2 @ 2.36% ( 1.06)1-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.69)2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.57)Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.71% |
How you voted: Argentina vs Canada
