Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 5, 2024 at 2am UK
NRG Stadium
Argentina1 - 1Ecuador
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Argentina and Ecuador, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Argentina could line up for Thursday's Copa America clash with Ecuador.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Argentina 2-0 Peru
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
Sunday, June 30 at 1am in Copa America
We said: Argentina 1-0 Ecuador
Ecuador are capable of frustrating their opponents, as they showed on matchday three, but Argentina are more than comfortable in close games and have plenty of individuals who have stepped up and made a difference throughout this tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 56.78%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ecuador had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.37%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Ecuador win it was 0-1 (6.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Argentina | Draw | Ecuador |
56.78% ( -0.55) | 24.42% ( 0.34) | 18.79% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
