

Arsenal3 - 1Southampton
The Match
Match Report
Team News
Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League
for
Monday, September 30 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 73.7%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 10.78%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.09%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (3.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.
Result | ||
Arsenal | Draw | Southampton |
73.7% (![]() | 15.52% (![]() | 10.78% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.83% (![]() | 32.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.24% (![]() | 53.75% (![]() |
Arsenal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.53% (![]() | 7.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
73.15% (![]() | 26.85% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.4% (![]() | 40.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.81% (![]() | 77.19% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Arsenal | Draw | Southampton |
2-0 @ 10.2% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.2% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 8.82% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.96% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.72% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 5.16% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.59% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.68% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.33% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.21% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() Other @ 3.56% Total : 73.69% | 1-1 @ 7.09% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.15% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.17% Total : 15.53% | 1-2 @ 3.2% (![]() 0-1 @ 2.73% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 1.4% Total : 10.78% |
How you voted: Arsenal vs Southampton





