EFL Cup | Second Round
Aug 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Cardiff3 - 5Southampton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Swansea 1-1 Cardiff
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship
Sunday, August 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Southampton 0-1 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
Saturday, August 24 at 3pm in Premier League
We said: Cardiff City 0-2 Southampton
Cardiff have been vulnerable in defence so far this season, conceding eight in four matches, while the hosts have shown signs of promise in attack, and we expect the visitors to finally find their goalscoring form and take the victory here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.19%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.92%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Southampton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Southampton |
32.8% ( 0.24) | 24% ( 0.07) | 43.19% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 60.47% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
