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Ligue 1
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Lille

Monaco
1 - 0
Lille

Fofana (61')
Akliouche (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

David (54'), Bouaddi (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monaco

All competitions
Last Game: Brest 0-2 Monaco
Sunday, April 21 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 21 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 2-2 Lille

 Despite both sides winning three games on the trot, Wednesday's game is tricky to call. Monaco's form at Stade Louis II is questionable, while Lille's road results leave much to be desired. The home side's 11-game undefeated streak against the Mastiffs should become 12, with both sides possibly cancelling each other out in midweek. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Lille had a probability of 33.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
MonacoDrawLille
41.13% (-0.275 -0.27) 25.27% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06) 33.6% (0.335 0.34)
Both teams to score 56.28% (0.295 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.65% (0.341 0.34)47.35% (-0.34200000000001 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.43% (0.315 0.32)69.57% (-0.316 -0.32)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.11% (0.013000000000005 0.01)22.89% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)56.64% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.98% (0.36999999999999 0.37)27.02% (-0.37 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.483 0.48)62.37% (-0.485 -0.48)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 41.13%
    Lille 33.6%
    Draw 25.27%
MonacoDrawLille
1-0 @ 9.12% (-0.127 -0.13)
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 6.72% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.3% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.83% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.13%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.18% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.27%
0-1 @ 8.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.81% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.41% (0.059 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.044 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.039 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.12% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.6%

How you voted: Monaco vs Lille

Monaco
61.5%
Draw
25.0%
Lille
13.5%
104
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
2-0
Monaco
Cavaleiro (32'), Diakite (42')
Yazici (67')

Singo (48'), Zakaria (50')
> Preview
May 14, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 35
Monaco
0-0
Lille
> Preview
Oct 23, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lille
4-3
Monaco
Alexsandro (22'), Cabella (39', 62'), Bamba (71')
Henrique (34'), Disasi (44'), Ben Yedder (53')
> Preview
May 6, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
1-2
Monaco
Gomes (69')
Celik (39'), Fonte (51'), Andre (87'), Bamba (90')
Tchouameni (42', 75')
Ben Yedder (66')
> Preview
Nov 19, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 14
Monaco
2-2
Lille
Diatta (41'), Ben Yedder (83')
Pavlovic (3'), Fofana (84')
Pavlovic (78')
David (5' pen., 9')
Celik (7'), David (37'), Yazici (68'), Weah (73'), Niasse (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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