Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 55.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Rennes had a probability of 20.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Rennes win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Rennes |
55.99% ( -0.73) | 23.48% ( 0.21) | 20.53% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 51.03% ( 0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.95% ( -0.2) | 49.05% ( 0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.87% ( -0.18) | 71.13% ( 0.18) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.65% ( -0.33) | 17.34% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.27% ( -0.59) | 47.73% ( 0.59) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.74% ( 0.43) | 38.26% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.98% ( 0.41) | 75.02% ( -0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 11.62% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.18% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.77% Total : 55.98% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.98% Total : 23.47% | 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.52% Total : 20.53% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 31 | 20 | 10 | 1 | 76 | 29 | 47 | 70 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 32 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 61 |
3 | Brest | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 49 | 33 | 16 | 57 |
4 | Lille | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 55 |
5 | Nice | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 51 |
6 | Lens | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 42 | 34 | 8 | 49 |
7 | Rennes | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 51 | 43 | 8 | 45 |
8 | Marseille | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 47 | 38 | 9 | 44 |
9 | Lyon | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 51 | -9 | 44 |
10 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 42 | -3 | 40 |
12 | Reims | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 45 | -7 | 40 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 47 | -12 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 32 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 49 | -20 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 29 |
17 | Lorient | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 37 | 63 | -26 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 32 | 5 | 10 | 17 | 26 | 54 | -28 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |