MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 15:32:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Marseille

Lille
3 - 1
Marseille

David (54' pen.), Cabella (71'), Gudmundsson (84')
Santos (21')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ismaily (81')
Harit (27'), Gigot (52'), Merlin (57'), Kondogbia (70'), Balerdi (77'), Veretout (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Marseille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Marseille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-2 PSG
Sunday, March 31 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-0 Marseille

 No longer enjoying Gasset's new manager bounce and still working with a ravaged set of defensive options, another dismal weekend awaits the Marseille faithful, whose 10-hour journey to the Stade Pierre-Mauroy will likely go unrewarded. Visiting a ground where Lille are hardly ever outclassed and have not failed to score in over a year, the stage is set for Gasset's men to suffer a fourth straight defeat, as Les Dogues enhance their European credentials at the expense of their visitors' top-six hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 53.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Marseille had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Marseille win it was 0-1 (6.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawMarseille
53.77% (0.126 0.13) 23.54% (0.036000000000001 0.04) 22.69% (-0.161 -0.16)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.2% (-0.331 -0.33)46.8% (0.331 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.94% (-0.31 -0.31)69.06% (0.31100000000001 0.31)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)17.33% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.133 -0.13)47.7% (0.133 0.13)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.12% (-0.33499999999999 -0.33)34.88% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.38% (-0.354 -0.35)71.62% (0.354 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Lille 53.77%
    Marseille 22.69%
    Draw 23.53%
LilleDrawMarseille
1-0 @ 10.59% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 9.29% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.43% (0.035 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.01% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.38% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.32% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.15% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.083 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.15% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.37% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.06% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 22.69%

How you voted: Lille vs Marseille

Lille
71.9%
Draw
16.3%
Marseille
11.9%
135
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 11
Marseille
0-0
Lille
Harit (42'), Gigot (53')
Andre (27'), Bentaleb (70'), Yazici (73')
> Preview
May 20, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 36
Lille
2-1
Marseille
David (50' pen.), Bamba (72')
Andre (57'), Bamba (73'), Bayo (85')
Clauss (29')
Balerdi (37'), Rongier (55')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 7
Marseille
2-1
Lille
Sanchez (26'), Gigot (61')
Ismaily (12')
> Preview
Jan 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 21
Marseille
1-1
Lille
Under (75')
Guendouzi (4')
Botman (15')
Andre (30'), Grbic (55'), Celik (55'), Lihadji (86')
Andre (32')
> Preview
Oct 3, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 9
Lille
2-0
Marseille
David (28', 90+4')
Mandava (11'), Yilmaz (66')

Under (24'), Balerdi (37')
Under (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!