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AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Montpellier
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Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
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Ligue 1
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lens logo

Lille
2 - 1
Lens

Zhegrova (9', 60')
Andre (52'), Zhegrova (64'), Bentaleb (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wahi (78')
Medina (35'), Wahi (64'), Costa (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-3 Nice
Saturday, March 16 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-1 Lens

 Friday's encounter has all the makings of a fascinating derby between a Lille side who are hardly ever outfought on their own patch, and a Lens crop with the most away clean sheets in the current Ligue 1 campaign. The international break has the potential to disrupt both sides' flow, though, and with both managers wary of the ramifications of a defeat, yet another low-scoring stalemate between the two sides may be on the Stade Pierre-Mauroy menu. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 54.77%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
LilleDrawLens
54.77% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 23.39% (-0.0039999999999978 -0) 21.84% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 53.2% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.9% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)47.1% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.66% (0.004999999999999 0)69.33% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92% (0.0020000000000095 0)17.07% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.74% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.26% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)35.84% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.38% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.62% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 54.76%
    Lens 21.84%
    Draw 23.38%
LilleDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.81%
2-1 @ 9.81%
2-0 @ 9.56%
3-1 @ 5.78% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 5.63% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
5-1 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 54.76%
1-1 @ 11.09% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.38%
0-1 @ 6.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 5.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.72%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 21.84%

How you voted: Lille vs Lens

Lille
49.4%
Draw
40.5%
Lens
10.1%
79
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
> Preview
Jan 4, 2022 8pm
Round of 32
Lens
2-2
Lille
 Lens win 4-3 on penalties
Fofana (67', 90+5')
Fofana (90+5')
Onana (28', 33')
Mandava (72'), Grbic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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