The Match
Match Report
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Preview
Predicted Lineups
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
for
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League
for
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Aston Villa | Draw | Southampton |
58.03% (![]() | 20.72% (![]() | 21.26% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.58% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.36% (![]() | 35.64% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.3% (![]() | 57.7% (![]() |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.85% (![]() | 12.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.24% (![]() | 37.76% (![]() |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% (![]() | 29.9% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% (![]() | 66% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Aston Villa | Draw | Southampton |
2-1 @ 9.74% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.07% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.66% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4.13% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.52% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.26% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 3.43% Total : 58.03% | 1-1 @ 9.24% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.88% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.29% Total : 20.72% | 1-2 @ 5.58% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.39% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 21.26% |
How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

