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Premier League | Gameweek 15
Dec 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Duran (24')
Rogers (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Downes (69'), Wood (78'), Amo-Ameyaw (85')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Southampton could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Aston Villa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford
Wednesday, December 4 at 8.15pm in Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 1-5 Chelsea
Wednesday, December 4 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 58.03%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 21.26% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Southampton win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
58.03% (2.865 2.87) 20.72% (-0.875 -0.88) 21.26% (-1.985 -1.99)
Both teams to score 61.58% (0.329 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.36% (1.685 1.69)35.64% (-1.679 -1.68)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.3% (1.839 1.84)57.7% (-1.833 -1.83)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.85% (1.393 1.39)12.15% (-1.388 -1.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.24% (2.852 2.85)37.76% (-2.848 -2.85)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.745 -0.75)29.9% (0.749 0.75)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.911 -0.91)66% (0.916 0.92)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 58.03%
    Southampton 21.26%
    Draw 20.72%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
2-1 @ 9.74% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.07% (0.18 0.18)
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.234 -0.23)
3-1 @ 6.85% (0.363 0.36)
3-0 @ 5.67% (0.412 0.41)
3-2 @ 4.13% (0.137 0.14)
4-1 @ 3.61% (0.367 0.37)
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.359 0.36)
4-2 @ 2.18% (0.18 0.18)
5-1 @ 1.52% (0.225 0.23)
5-0 @ 1.26% (0.208 0.21)
5-2 @ 0.92% (0.119 0.12)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 58.03%
1-1 @ 9.24% (-0.483 -0.48)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.113 -0.11)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.314 -0.31)
3-3 @ 1.66% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.72%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.415 -0.42)
0-1 @ 4.39% (-0.478 -0.48)
0-2 @ 2.65% (-0.351 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.167 -0.17)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 21.26%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
81.3%
Draw
10.9%
Southampton
7.8%
193
Head to Head
Jan 21, 2023 3pm
Sep 16, 2022 8pm
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 28
Aston Villa
4-0
Southampton
Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

Romeu (68')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Southampton
1-0
Aston Villa
Armstrong (3')
Romeu (62'), Salisu (90+1')

El Ghazi (11'), Tuanzebe (65')
Jan 30, 2021 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool21155150203050
2Arsenal22128243212244
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest22135433221144
4Chelsea22117444271740
5Manchester CityMan City22115644291538
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle22115638261238
7Bournemouth22107536261037
8Aston Villa2210663334-136
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2281043530534
10Fulham228953430433
11Brentford2284104039128
12Crystal Palace226972528-327
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd2275102732-526
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2275102743-1626
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs22731245351024
16Everton214891828-1020
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2244143251-1916
18Ipswich TownIpswich2237122043-2316
19Leicester CityLeicester2235142348-2514
20Southampton2213181550-356


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