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Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2022 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Southampton logo

Aston Villa
1 - 0
Southampton

Ramsey (41')
Coutinho (45+4'), Ramsey (58'), Young (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Aston Villa 1-1 Man City
Saturday, September 3 at 5.30pm in Premier League

We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Southampton

There is not a huge difference between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting an even game on Friday night. Both managers would likely be content with a draw if it were offered ahead of kickoff, and we can see a stalemate taking place here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Southampton had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Southampton win was 0-1 (9.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aston Villa in this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
40.48% (-0.206 -0.21) 26.29% (0.047000000000001 0.05) 33.22% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 52.77% (-0.105 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.17% (-0.153 -0.15)51.83% (0.15600000000001 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.41% (-0.132 -0.13)73.58% (0.134 0.13)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.79% (-0.178 -0.18)25.21% (0.18 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.05% (-0.247 -0.25)59.95% (0.249 0.25)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.56% (0.028000000000006 0.03)29.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.56% (0.033999999999999 0.03)65.44% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.47%
    Southampton 33.22%
    Draw 26.29%
Aston VillaDrawSouthampton
1-0 @ 10.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.62% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.05% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.96% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.42% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.12% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 40.47%
1-1 @ 12.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.42% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.27% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.29%
0-1 @ 9.08% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.55% (0.043 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.019 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 33.22%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Southampton

Aston Villa
54.1%
Draw
26.1%
Southampton
19.9%
357
Head to Head
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Aston Villa
4-0
Southampton
Watkins (9'), Luiz (44'), Coutinho (52'), Ings (54')
Watkins (74')

Romeu (68')
Nov 5, 2021 8pm
Nov 1, 2020 12pm
Aston Villa
3-4
Southampton
Mings (62'), Watkins (90+3' pen.), Grealish (90+7')
Cash (43')
Vestergaard (20'), Ward-Prowse (33', 45'), Ings (58')
Ward-Prowse (12'), Diallo (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool1311112681834
2Arsenal1374226141225
3Chelsea1374226141225
4Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton136522217523
5Manchester CityMan City137242219323
6Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest136431613322
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1362528141420
8Brentford136252623320
9Manchester UnitedMan Utd135441713419
10Fulham135441818019
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle135441414019
12Aston Villa135441922-319
13Bournemouth135352019118
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham134361724-715
15Everton132561021-1111
16Leicester CityLeicester132471627-1110
17Crystal Palace131661118-79
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves132382232-109
19Ipswich TownIpswich131661324-119
20Southampton1312101025-155


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