Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
40.29% ( 0.08) | 26.1% ( -0.01) | 33.62% ( -0.06) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.07% ( 0.03) | 50.92% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.2% ( 0.02) | 72.8% ( -0.03) |
Southampton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.09% ( 0.05) | 24.91% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.47% ( 0.07) | 59.53% ( -0.07) |
Aston Villa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.25% ( -0.03) | 28.74% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.42% ( -0.04) | 64.58% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Southampton | Draw | Aston Villa |
1-0 @ 9.95% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.6% Total : 40.29% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.56% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.63% Total : 33.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 47 |
2 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 41 |
3 | Arsenal | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 39 | 18 | 21 | 40 |
4 | Chelsea | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Manchester CityMan City | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 35 |
7 | Bournemouth | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 34 |
8 | Aston Villa | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 32 | -2 | 32 |
9 | Fulham | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
10 | Brentford | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 40 | 37 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 28 |
12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 26 |
13 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 24 |
14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 23 |
15 | Crystal Palace | 20 | 4 | 9 | 7 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 21 |
16 | Everton | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 17 |
17 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 16 |
18 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 16 |
19 | Leicester CityLeicester | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 14 |
20 | Southampton | 20 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 6 |
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