Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (5.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
60.03% ( 0.01) | 21.72% ( -0) | 18.25% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 52.81% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.23% ( 0.01) | 44.77% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.87% ( 0.01) | 67.13% ( -0) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.5% ( 0) | 14.5% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.51% ( 0.01) | 42.5% ( -0.01) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% ( 0) | 38.24% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25% ( 0) | 75% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.7% 2-0 @ 10.33% 2-1 @ 9.94% 3-0 @ 6.66% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.4% 4-0 @ 3.21% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.24% 5-1 @ 1.19% Other @ 2.7% Total : 60.01% | 1-1 @ 10.29% 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.12% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.33% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.95% 0-2 @ 2.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.53% Other @ 2.3% Total : 18.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 34 |
2 | Real Madrid | 14 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 33 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 26 |
5 | Villarreal | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 26 |
6 | Mallorca | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 23 |
8 | GironaGirona | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 21 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
11 | Sevilla | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 19 |
12 | Celta Vigo | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 18 |
13 | Rayo Vallecano | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 15 |
15 | Leganes | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 15 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 14 |
17 | Getafe | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 13 |
18 | Espanyol | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 32 | -22 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |