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La Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
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Villarreal
1 - 2
Atletico

Sorloth (50')
Capoue (27'), Parejo (58'), Mosquera (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Witsel (9'), Niguez (87')
Griezmann (26'), Barrios (62'), Niguez (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Villarreal 1-0 Valencia
Sunday, March 17 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 0-3 Barcelona
Sunday, March 17 at 8pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Atletico Madrid

 Villarreal are flying at the moment, and we are finding it difficult to predict the hosts to lose here, especially considering Atletico's away struggles. The Red and Whites will be determined to avoid a third straight league defeat, meanwhile, and we can see the points being shared in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 30.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.

Result
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
44.82% (0.288 0.29) 24.71% (0.206 0.21) 30.46% (-0.488 -0.49)
Both teams to score 56.9% (-0.948 -0.95)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.03% (-1.13 -1.13)45.97% (1.135 1.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.72% (-1.079 -1.08)68.28% (1.084 1.08)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.41% (-0.337 -0.34)20.59% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.87% (-0.53599999999999 -0.54)53.13% (0.541 0.54)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.65% (-0.88300000000001 -0.88)28.35% (0.889 0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.91% (-1.129 -1.13)64.09% (1.135 1.14)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 44.82%
    Atletico Madrid 30.46%
    Draw 24.71%
VillarrealDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.23% (0.344 0.34)
2-1 @ 9.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.29% (0.198 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.84% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.84% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.102 -0.1)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.035 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.52% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.21% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 11.62% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.277 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.79% (-0.13 -0.13)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.71%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.087000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-4 @ 0.97% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 30.46%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Atletico

Villarreal
29.9%
Draw
27.8%
Atletico Madrid
42.4%
144
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 13
Atletico
3-1
Villarreal
Witsel (45+1'), Griezmann (80'), Lino (85')
Moreno (20')
Capoue (45+2'), Akhomach (77')
> Preview
Jun 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 38
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Jackson (9'), Pascual (90+2')
Moreno (36'), Capoue (39'), Baena (75')
Correa (18', 56')
Barrios (68'), Correa (76')
Witsel (70')
> Preview
Aug 21, 2022 6.30pm
Gameweek 2
Atletico
0-2
Villarreal

Felix (48'), Gimenez (90+1')
Molina (90+4')
Pino (73'), Moreno (90+7')
Parejo (90+3'), Baena (90+4'), Moreno (90+9')
> Preview
Jan 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 20
Villarreal
2-2
Atletico
Torres (29'), Moreno (58')
Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')
> Preview
Aug 29, 2021 9pm
Gameweek 3
Atletico
2-2
Villarreal
Suarez (56'), Mandi (90+4' og.)
Simeone (16'), Correa (28'), Lemar (45'), Suarez (59'), De Paul (85')
Trigueros (52'), Danjuma (74')
Moreno (61'), Rulli (85')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid21154250203049
2Atletico MadridAtletico21136235142145
3Barcelona21133559243542
4Athletic Bilbao21117331181340
5Villarreal219753932734
6Mallorca219391926-730
7Rayo Vallecano217862524129
8GironaGirona218492929028
9Real Sociedad218491717028
10Real BetisBetis217772326-328
11Osasuna216962530-527
12Sevilla217682430-627
13Celta Vigo2174103033-325
14Getafe215881717023
15Las PalmasLas Palmas2165102634-823
16Leganes215881929-1023
17AlavesAlaves2156102533-821
18Espanyol2155112033-1320
19Valencia2137112036-1616
20Real ValladolidValladolid2143141442-2815
> La Liga Full Table


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