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La Liga | Gameweek 29
Mar 17, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Estadio de la Ceramica
Valencia logo

Villarreal
1 - 0
Valencia

Cuenca (54')
Femenia (12'), Coquelin (35'), Baena (41'), Cuenca (52'), Mandi (70')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ozkacar (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Villarreal 3-1 Marseille
Thursday, March 14 at 5.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Valencia 1-0 Getafe
Saturday, March 9 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Villarreal 2-2 Valencia

This has all of the makings of a very interesting match, and we are predicting goals on Sunday. Villarreal are in excellent form, but Valencia will be comfortably the fresher of the two teams, and we are expecting Los Che to claim a share of the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Villarreal in this match.

Result
VillarrealDrawValencia
54.63% (0.191 0.19) 23.45% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08) 21.91% (-0.114 -0.11)
Both teams to score 53.09% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.71% (0.202 0.2)47.29% (-0.201 -0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.49% (0.187 0.19)69.51% (-0.18600000000001 -0.19)
Villarreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.81% (0.143 0.14)17.19% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.54% (0.251 0.25)47.46% (-0.25 -0.25)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.12% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)35.88% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.34% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)72.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Villarreal 54.63%
    Valencia 21.91%
    Draw 23.45%
VillarrealDrawValencia
1-0 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.8% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.56% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.034 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.032 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.95% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.53% (0.026 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.47% (0.026 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 54.63%
1-1 @ 11.13% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.17% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.02% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.45%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.11% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 21.91%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Valencia

Villarreal
50.0%
Draw
32.3%
Valencia
17.7%
62
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2024 8.30pm
Gameweek 19
Valencia
3-1
Villarreal
Yaremchuk (4'), Pepelu (27' pen., 57' pen.)
Gaya (63'), Lopez (74')
Moreno (73')
Bailly (37'), Marcelino (38'), Parejo (49'), Capoue (56'), Terrats (80'), Cuenca (90+2')
May 3, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 33
Valencia
1-1
Villarreal
Lino (72')
Jackson (62')
Dec 31, 2022 3.15pm
Gameweek 15
Villarreal
2-1
Valencia
Chukwueze (45'), Foyth (88')
Cavani (21')
Apr 19, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Villarreal
2-0
Valencia
Danjuma (10' pen., 17')
Trigueros (75'), Aurier (84')

Comert (9'), Maranhao (40'), Moriba (66')
Oct 30, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 12
Valencia
2-0
Villarreal
Guillamon (43'), Soler (77' pen.)
Guillamon (47'), Alderete (63')

Danjuma (53'), Trigueros (73'), Albiol (75'), Chukwueze (79')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CReal Madrid35286178225690
2GironaGirona35236675443175
3Barcelona34227570432773
4Atletico MadridAtletico34214963392467
5Athletic Bilbao351711757352262
6Real Sociedad341412848351354
7Real BetisBetis34131384339452
8Villarreal35139135960-148
9Valencia34138133739-247
10Getafe341013114147-643
11AlavesAlaves35119153440-642
12Sevilla351011144749-241
13Osasuna35117173953-1440
14Las PalmasLas Palmas35107183044-1437
15Mallorca35714142840-1235
16Celta Vigo34810164052-1234
17Rayo Vallecano34713142743-1634
18CadizCadiz34414162349-2626
RGranada3549223668-3221
RAlmeria34211213367-3417


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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