Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 51.18%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
51.18% ( -0.1) | 24.34% ( 0.06) | 24.49% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.39% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.6% ( -0.22) | 48.4% ( 0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.46% ( -0.21) | 70.54% ( 0.21) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.09% ( -0.13) | 18.91% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.59% ( -0.21) | 50.41% ( 0.21) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.84% ( -0.09) | 34.16% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.14% ( -0.09) | 70.86% ( 0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 10.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.07% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 51.18% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.33% | 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.21% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 24.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 50 | 20 | 30 | 49 |
2 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 35 | 14 | 21 | 45 |
3 | Barcelona | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 59 | 24 | 35 | 42 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 40 |
5 | Villarreal | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 34 |
6 | Mallorca | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 30 |
7 | Rayo Vallecano | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | 25 | 24 | 1 | 29 |
8 | GironaGirona | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 28 |
9 | Real Sociedad | 21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 28 |
10 | Real BetisBetis | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
11 | Osasuna | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 27 |
12 | Sevilla | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 33 | -3 | 25 |
14 | Getafe | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 23 |
15 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 23 |
16 | Leganes | 21 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 23 |
17 | AlavesAlaves | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 21 |
18 | Espanyol | 21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 20 |
19 | Valencia | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 16 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 42 | -28 | 15 |
> La Liga Full Table |