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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 21, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez

Junior
1 - 2
Colo-Colo

Bacca (45+1')
Olivera (89')
Perez (82')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cepeda (43'), Falcon (74')
Cortes (37'), Pavez (68'), Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (81'), Almiron (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Copa Libertadores clash between Atletico Junior and Colo-Colo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Junior
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-0 Junior
Wednesday, August 14 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: Atletico Junior 1-1 Colo-Colo (Colo-Colo advances 2-1 on aggregate)

Throughout this tournament, the Colombians have been narrowly squeaking by, and we do not see them doing enough to defeat a side as disciplined defensively as Colo-Colo. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 37.77%. A win for Atletico Junior had a probability of 34.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Atletico Junior win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colo-Colo would win this match.

Result
Atletico JuniorDrawColo-Colo
34.66% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09) 27.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 37.77% (0.11 0.11)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.31% (0.052 0.05)56.68% (-0.056000000000004 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.35% (0.041999999999998 0.04)77.64% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Atletico Junior Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.06% (-0.036999999999992 -0.04)30.93% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)67.23% (0.037000000000006 0.04)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (0.088999999999999 0.09)29.01% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.09% (0.111 0.11)64.91% (-0.116 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Junior 34.65%
    Colo-Colo 37.76%
    Draw 27.57%
Atletico JuniorDrawColo-Colo
1-0 @ 10.52% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 7.64% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.18% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.85%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 34.65%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.57%
0-1 @ 11.1%
1-2 @ 8.06% (0.017000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.87% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.33% (0.015 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.84% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.95% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.03% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.76%

How you voted: Junior vs Colo-Colo

Atletico Junior
25.8%
Draw
29.0%
Colo-Colo
45.2%
31
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2024 1.30am
Round of 16 1st Leg
Colo-Colo
1-0
Junior
Tomas Pizarro Durcudoy (76')
Palacios (3'), Bolados (23'), Wiemberg (69')

Colorado (4'), Herrera (19'), Fuentes (23'), Enamorado (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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