We said: Austria 2-0 Slovenia
Despite a slow start to the section, Austria are starting to show the form that made many sit up and take notice at times during Euro 2024, and they should end the night as Group B3 winners.
Slovenia's 4-1 loss at home to Norway on Thursday was a massive missed opportunity for them to break into the top two, and they look unlikely to do so now against a strong Austria side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 53.89%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 20.68%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
0.21) 
-0.48) 
