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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Slovenia national football team
Nations League | League B
Nov 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Stozice
Norway national football team

Slovenia
1 - 4
Norway

Sesko (21' pen.)
FT(HT: 1-2)
Nusa (4', 59'), Haaland (45'), Petter Hauge (83')
Heggem (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Slovenia and Norway, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Slovenia

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Kazakhstan 0-1 Slovenia
Sunday, October 13 at 2pm in Nations League

Norway

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Austria 5-1 Norway
Sunday, October 13 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We said: Slovenia 1-1 Norway

 While Norway swatted Slovenia aside when they last met, a subsequent thumping by Austria and an extensive list of defensive absentees will surely take its toll. Therefore, the spoils will be shared in Ljubljana, leaving both teams locked together on eight before Sunday's final round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Norway had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Norway win was 0-1 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
SloveniaDrawNorway
38.74% (1.92 1.92) 25.39% (-0.148 -0.15) 35.87% (-1.769 -1.77)
Both teams to score 56.3% (0.45999999999999 0.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.49% (0.617 0.62)47.51% (-0.614 -0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.28% (0.568 0.57)69.72% (-0.56400000000001 -0.56)
Slovenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.82% (1.327 1.33)24.18% (-1.324 -1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (1.844 1.84)58.5% (-1.841 -1.84)
Norway Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.25% (-0.703 -0.7)25.75% (0.706 0.71)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.31% (-0.96400000000001 -0.96)60.69% (0.967 0.97)
Score Analysis
    Slovenia 38.74%
    Norway 35.87%
    Draw 25.39%
SloveniaDrawNorway
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.112 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.258 0.26)
2-0 @ 6.28% (0.312 0.31)
3-1 @ 4.03% (0.269 0.27)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.254 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.13 0.13)
4-1 @ 1.43% (0.145 0.15)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.126 0.13)
4-2 @ 0.97% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.74%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.78% (0.06 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.035 0.03)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.396 -0.4)
1-2 @ 8.14% (-0.229 -0.23)
0-2 @ 5.73% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-3 @ 3.68% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.61% (-0.025 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.234 -0.23)
1-4 @ 1.25% (-0.088 -0.09)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 35.87%

How you voted: Slovenia vs Norway

Slovenia
38.0%
Draw
27.6%
Norway
34.4%
192
Head to Head
Oct 10, 2024 7.45pm
League B
Norway
3-0
Slovenia
Haaland (7', 62'), Sorloth (52')
Berg (88')

Stojanovic (63')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2022 5pm
League B
Slovenia
2-1
Norway
Sporar (69'), Sesko (81')
Braut Haaland (47')
> Preview
Jun 9, 2022 7.45pm
League B
Norway
0-0
Slovenia
Thorstvedt (76')
Stojanovic (1'), Sporar (90+1')
Blazic (63')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Slovenia
1-1
Norway
Verbic (9')
Rotman (72')
Johnsen (85')
Rosted (56'), Jarstein (74')
Oct 13, 2018 5pm
League Phase
Norway
1-0
Slovenia
Selnaes (45')
Elyounoussi (44')

Bijol (84')
rhs 2.0
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