Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 10, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Bari2 - 0Brescia
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Brescia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cittadella 1-1 Bari
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
36
Last Game: Brescia 4-1 Lecco
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Sunday, May 5 at 2pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bari | Draw | Brescia |
44.49% ( 0.03) | 27.02% ( -0) | 28.48% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.67% ( -0.01) | 56.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.64% ( -0) | 77.35% ( -0) |
| Bari Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.81% ( 0.01) | 25.18% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.08% ( 0.02) | 59.91% ( -0.02) |
| Brescia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.86% ( -0.03) | 35.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.11% ( -0.03) | 71.89% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
Bari 44.49%
Brescia 28.48%
Draw 27.02%
| Bari | Draw | Brescia |
| 1-0 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.41% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.05% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0)Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.49% | 1-1 @ 12.76% 0-0 @ 8.85% 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0)Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.48% |
Head to Head
Feb 25, 2023 1pm
Oct 1, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 7
Bari
6-2
Brescia
Mar 24, 2018 7.30pm
Bari
3-0
Brescia
Cortesi (7'), Cancellotti (41'), Torregrossa (72')
Oct 23, 2017 7.30pm
