Besiktas

5 - 1

Lugano

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 24.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8.4%). The likeliest Lugano win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.