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Europa League
Lugano
Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg
Aug 22, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Besiktas

Lugano
3 - 3
Besiktas

Bislimi (34'), Steffen (56'), Paulista (64' og.)
Doumbia (47'), Valenzuela (77')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernandes (21', 52'), Elmusrati (55')
Ndour (45+2'), Onana (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Lugano and Besiktas, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lugano

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Lugano 2-2 Partizan
Thursday, August 15 at 7.30pm in Europa League

Besiktas

All competitions
Last Game: Besiktas 4-2 Antalyaspor
Sunday, August 18 at 7.45pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Lugano 1-3 Besiktas

 Both sides have looked strong in front of goal at the start of this season, so we could be in for a contest filled with final-third action. However, considering the form of Besiktas and the strength that they have throughout their squad, we believe that they will find a way to prevail in the first leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lugano win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lugano win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.77%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
LuganoDrawBesiktas
40.98%24.2%34.82%
Both teams to score 60.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.86%42.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.46%64.54%
Lugano Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.28%20.71%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.67%53.32%
Besiktas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.16%23.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.98%58.02%
Score Analysis
    Lugano 40.98%
    Besiktas 34.82%
    Draw 24.19%
LuganoDrawBesiktas
2-1 @ 8.78%
1-0 @ 7.77%
2-0 @ 6.12%
3-1 @ 4.61%
3-2 @ 3.3%
3-0 @ 3.21%
4-1 @ 1.81%
4-2 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 11.14%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.94%
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.19%
1-2 @ 7.99%
0-1 @ 7.08%
0-2 @ 5.08%
1-3 @ 3.82%
2-3 @ 3.01%
0-3 @ 2.43%
1-4 @ 1.37%
2-4 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 34.82%

How you voted: Lugano vs Besiktas

Lugano
14.8%
Draw
13.0%
Besiktas
72.2%
115
Head to Head
Dec 14, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
Lugano
0-2
Besiktas

Espinoza (73'), Hajdari (76')
Steffen (90')
Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Oct 5, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
Besiktas
2-3
Lugano
Aboubakar (38', 52')
Rosier (43')
Rosier (61')
Aliseda (81'), Vladi (86'), Bailly (90' og.)
Bottani (43')
rhs 2.0
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> Premier League Full Table


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