Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadio di Cornaredo
Lugano0 - 2Besiktas
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tosun (36'), Terzi (88')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Muleka (9'), Tiknaz (63'), Bulut (75'), Erhan Hekimoglu (75'), Zainutdinov (79')
Oxlade-Chamberlain (90')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between Lugano and Besiktas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lugano 2-1 Winterthur
Sunday, December 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Sunday, December 10 at 1.15pm in Swiss Super League
Last Game: Besiktas 1-3 Fenerbahce
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, December 9 at 4pm in Turkish Super Lig
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
Result | ||
Lugano | Draw | Besiktas |
28.2% ( 3.61) | 23.34% ( 0.99) | 48.45% ( -4.61) |
Both teams to score 60.15% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.96% ( -1.57) | 41.03% ( 1.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.57% ( -1.61) | 63.43% ( 1.61) |
Lugano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.6% ( 1.85) | 27.39% ( -1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.13% ( 2.33) | 62.86% ( -2.34) |
Besiktas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.84% ( -2.21) | 17.15% ( 2.2) |