Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.