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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Bolton


Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Bolton may have struggled in their recent away matches, but they tend to fare well at the Memorial Stadium, and we think that the promotion-hopefuls will do enough to edge their hosts and claim three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
32.06% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.01% (-0.041 -0.04) 41.93% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.134 0.13)50.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.119 0.12)72.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.148 0.15)24.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.207 0.21)58.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.06%
    Bolton Wanderers 41.93%
    Draw 26%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
19.0%
Draw
9.5%
Bolton Wanderers
71.4%
21
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Toal (84')
Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
Santos (33')
Marquis (10'), Evans (41')
Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Coburn (2')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe16122236181838
2Wrexham17104326111534
3Birmingham CityBirmingham15103228151333
4Stockport CountyStockport1786329171230
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield1692525151029
6Barnsley177642622427
7Reading168352624227
8Bolton WanderersBolton168352526-127
9Lincoln CityLincoln177552321226
10Mansfield TownMansfield157352017324
11Exeter CityExeter167271415-123
12Charlton AthleticCharlton166461717022
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough166373229321
14Bristol Rovers176381723-621
15Wigan AthleticWigan165561513220
16Blackpool175572430-620
17Stevenage165471116-519
18Northampton TownNorthampton174671923-418
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham164571419-517
20Crawley TownCrawley174491527-1216
21Leyton Orient164391420-615
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge163491425-1113
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1632111629-1311
24Burton Albion1615101529-148
> League One Full Table


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