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League One
Bristol Rovers
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
Bolton logo

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Bolton


Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bristol Rovers 1-2 Bolton Wanderers

 Bolton may have struggled in their recent away matches, but they tend to fare well at the Memorial Stadium, and we think that the promotion-hopefuls will do enough to edge their hosts and claim three precious points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
32.06% (-0.129 -0.13) 26.01% (-0.041 -0.04) 41.93% (0.172 0.17)
Both teams to score 53.32% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.05% (0.134 0.13)50.95% (-0.13 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.18% (0.119 0.12)72.82% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.23% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)29.77% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.16% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)65.84% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.93% (0.148 0.15)24.07% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.64% (0.207 0.21)58.36% (-0.203 -0.2)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 32.06%
    Bolton Wanderers 41.93%
    Draw 26%
Bristol RoversDrawBolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.13% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 32.06%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.17% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 10.2% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.81% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.27% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.18% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 3.45% (0.025 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.53% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.009 0.01)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 41.93%

How you voted: Bristol Rovers vs Bolton

Bristol Rovers
19.0%
Draw
9.5%
Bolton Wanderers
71.4%
21
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Bolton
1-2
Bristol Rovers
Toal (84')
Forrester (45+3'), Baxter (45+5'), Dempsey (81'), Williams (88')
Santos (33')
Marquis (10'), Evans (41')
Finley (17'), Thomas (29'), Taylor (87'), Taylor (87')
May 7, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 46
Bristol Rovers
2-3
Bolton
Hoole (28'), Marquis (84')
Shoretire (24'), N'Lundulu (70'), Morley (77')
> Preview
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Charles (90+4')
Coburn (2')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 30
Bolton
1-1
Bristol Rovers
Murphy (82')
Darcy (24')
Clarke-Harris (63')
Upson (31'), Leahy (84')
Oct 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bristol Rovers
0-2
Bolton

Nichols (51'), Ogogo (53')
Murphy (15'), Murphy (68')
Murphy (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham23165241172453
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe24156350262451
3Wrexham25156437181951
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield23135536191744
5Barnsley2512673933642
6Reading2412573933641
7Stockport CountyStockport25108737271038
8Leyton Orient24114932221037
9Mansfield TownMansfield2311483126537
10Bolton WanderersBolton2311483534137
11Charlton AthleticCharlton239772721634
12Lincoln CityLincoln258892830-232
13Stevenage238781820-231
14Exeter CityExeter2494112831-331
15Blackpool247983235-330
16Rotherham UnitedRotherham237792123-228
17Wigan AthleticWigan2376102123-227
18Northampton TownNorthampton2568112439-1526
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2474134146-525
20Bristol Rovers2474132238-1625
21Crawley TownCrawley2355132443-1920
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2445152444-2017
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2445152243-2117
24Burton Albion2428142038-1814
> League One Full Table


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