League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Portsmouth3 - 1Shrewsbury
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
We said: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury Town
Shrewsbury may have avoided defeat in their last three matches, but we think that their unbeaten run will be brought to an end by a Portsmouth side that has won five of their previous six home games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
| Result | ||
| Portsmouth | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
62.57% ( -0.17) | 20.58% ( 0.07) | 16.85% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 53.77% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
