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League One
Shrewsbury Town
League One | Gameweek 39
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Carlisle United

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Carlisle

Udoh (40')
Perry (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (4'), McGeouch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 Shrewsbury will certainly be wounded by their heavy midweek defeat, but with home advantage back on their side against a Carlisle team in the midst of a rut, we fancy them to bounce back on Saturday and come out on top. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
35.57% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.35% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 37.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.79% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.23% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)55.77% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.1% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)76.9% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.1% (-0.041000000000011 -0.04)29.9% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)65.99% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.03% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)28.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.14% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)64.86% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 35.56%
    Carlisle United 37.08%
    Draw 27.34%
Shrewsbury TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.45% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.31%
3-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 35.56%
1-1 @ 12.95%
0-0 @ 8.66% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 10.73% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 6.65% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.08%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Carlisle

Shrewsbury Town
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Carlisle United
33.3%
12
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Carlisle
2-0
Shrewsbury
Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
3-2
Carlisle
Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Carlisle
Grandison (42')

Dempsey (38'), Thirlwell (84')
Thirlwell (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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