MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 04:21:25| >> :120:30822:30822:
Brighton logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 14, 2024 at 8pm UK
The American Express Community Stadium
Roma logo

Brighton
1 - 0
Roma

Welbeck (37')
Lamptey (31'), Estupinan (40'), De Zerbi (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mancini (12'), De Rossi (24'), N'Dicka (35'), Pellegrini (40'), Svilar (45+1'), Celik (86')

The Match

Match Report

Brighton & Hove Albion are knocked out of the Europa League after losing 4-1 on aggregate to Roma, despite beating the Italian side 1-0 in the second leg of their last-16 tie.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.67%. A win for Roma had a probability of 24.31% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Roma win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brighton & Hove Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Brighton & Hove Albion.

Result
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
51.67% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.02% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.31% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 54.19% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.75% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)47.24% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.53% (-0.012 -0.01)69.47% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)18.28%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.31% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)33.68% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.66% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.34% (0.015999999999991 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.66%
    Roma 24.31%
    Draw 24.02%
Brighton & Hove AlbionDrawRoma
1-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 8.89% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.48%
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.33%
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.66%
1-1 @ 11.38%
0-0 @ 6.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.02%
0-1 @ 6.7%
1-2 @ 6.2% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 24.31%

How you voted: Brighton vs Roma

Brighton & Hove Albion
51.5%
Draw
10.2%
Roma
38.3%
196
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2024 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Roma
4-0
Brighton
Dybala (13'), Lukaku (43'), Mancini (64'), Cristante (68')
Spinazzola (61')

Paul van Hecke (38'), Lamptey (67')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City127232217523
3Chelsea126422314922
4Arsenal126422112922
5Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton126422116522
6Tottenham HotspurSpurs1261527131419
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest125431513219
8Aston Villa125431919019
9Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
10Fulham125341717018
11Brentford125252222017
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
13Bournemouth124351617-115
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Everton122551017-711
16Leicester CityLeicester122461523-810
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves122372028-89
18Crystal Palace121561017-78
19Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!