Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
73.58% ( -0.5) | 15.9% ( 0.25) | 10.51% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.03% ( -0.53) | 34.96% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.05% ( -0.59) | 56.95% ( 0.59) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.84% ( -0.23) | 8.16% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.39% ( -0.58) | 28.61% ( 0.58) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.97% ( 0.08) | 43.03% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.68% ( 0.07) | 79.31% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 73.57% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 37 | 27 | 5 | 5 | 89 | 28 | 61 | 86 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 36 | 26 | 7 | 3 | 91 | 33 | 58 | 85 |
3 | Liverpool | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 81 | 38 | 43 | 78 |
4 | Aston Villa | 36 | 20 | 7 | 9 | 73 | 53 | 20 | 67 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 36 | 19 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 59 | 12 | 63 |
6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 36 | 17 | 6 | 13 | 79 | 57 | 22 | 57 |
7 | Chelsea | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 73 | 61 | 12 | 57 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 36 | 16 | 6 | 14 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 54 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 59 | 71 | -12 | 52 |
10 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 54 | 58 | -4 | 48 |
11 | Bournemouth | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 53 | 65 | -12 | 48 |
12 | Crystal Palace | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 52 | 58 | -6 | 46 |
13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 46 |
14 | Fulham | 37 | 12 | 8 | 17 | 51 | 59 | -8 | 44 |
15 | Everton | 37 | 13 | 9 | 15 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 37 | 10 | 9 | 18 | 54 | 61 | -7 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 37 | 8 | 9 | 20 | 47 | 66 | -19 | 29 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 37 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 50 | 81 | -31 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 40 | 76 | -36 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 37 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 35 | 101 | -66 | 16 |
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