Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 73.58%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 10.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 3-0 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Brighton & Hove Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
73.58% ( -0.5) | 15.9% ( 0.25) | 10.51% ( 0.24) |
Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.03% ( -0.53) | 34.96% ( 0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
43.05% ( -0.59) | 56.95% ( 0.59) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.84% ( -0.23) | 8.16% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.39% ( -0.58) | 28.61% ( 0.58) |
Nottingham Forest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.97% ( 0.08) | 43.03% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.68% ( 0.07) | 79.31% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.87% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.05) 5-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.94% Total : 73.57% | 1-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 15.9% | 1-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.08% Total : 10.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Liverpool | 22 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 54 | 21 | 33 | 53 |
2 | Arsenal | 23 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 47 |
3 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 44 |
4 | Manchester CityMan City | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 17 | 41 |
5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 27 | 14 | 41 |
6 | Chelsea | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 45 | 30 | 15 | 40 |
7 | Bournemouth | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 40 |
8 | Aston Villa | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 37 |
9 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 35 | 31 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Fulham | 23 | 8 | 9 | 6 | 34 | 31 | 3 | 33 |
11 | Brentford | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 31 |
12 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 29 |
13 | Crystal Palace | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 27 |
14 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 27 |
15 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 24 |
16 | Everton | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 19 | 28 | -9 | 23 |
17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 49 | -24 | 17 |
18 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 16 |
19 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 23 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 21 | 47 | -26 | 16 |
20 | Southampton | 23 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 53 | -37 | 6 |
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