Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
25.97% ( 0.21) | 25.73% ( 0.01) | 48.3% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( 0.14) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.12% ( 0.09) | 52.88% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.51% ( 0.08) | 74.49% ( -0.08) |
Frosinone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.67% ( 0.22) | 35.33% ( -0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.91% ( 0.23) | 72.09% ( -0.23) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.09% ( -0.06) | 21.9% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.83% ( -0.09) | 55.16% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Frosinone | Draw | Roma |
1-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.36% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 4.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.03% Total : 25.97% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.92% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 4.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.52% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 48.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 26 |
2 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 25 |
3 | Fiorentina | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 25 | 10 | 15 | 25 |
4 | Inter Milan | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 25 |
5 | Lazio | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 25 |
6 | Juventus | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 21 | 7 | 14 | 24 |
7 | AC Milan | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 18 |
8 | Bologna | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Udinese | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 16 |
10 | Empoli | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 15 |
11 | Torino | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
13 | Parma | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 12 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 17 | 27 | -10 | 12 |
15 | Como | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 10 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
17 | Genoa | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 22 | -13 | 10 |
18 | Lecce | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 21 | -16 | 9 |
19 | Monza | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 8 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |