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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Feb 18, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadio Benito Stirpe
Roma logo

Frosinone
0 - 3
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Huijsen (38'), Azmoun (71'), Paredes (81' pen.)
Huijsen (39'), Mancini (66'), Azmoun (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Frosinone and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 5-1 Frosinone
Sunday, February 11 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Feyenoord 1-1 Roma
Thursday, February 15 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Frosinone 1-2 Roma

Roma may not have things all their own way - Frosinone are tough to beat on home turf and have scored half of their Serie A goals via set-pieces - but the visitors should still have the guile to prevail at Stadio Stirpe. A fresh approach under new management has certainly raised hopes of improving the Giallorossi's dismal away record. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 48.3%. A win for Frosinone had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Frosinone win was 1-0 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
FrosinoneDrawRoma
25.97% (0.207 0.21) 25.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 48.3% (-0.22 -0.22)
Both teams to score 50.5% (0.136 0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.12% (0.091000000000001 0.09)52.88% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.51% (0.077999999999999 0.08)74.49% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)
Frosinone Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.67% (0.22300000000001 0.22)35.33% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.91% (0.23 0.23)72.09% (-0.229 -0.23)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.09% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)21.9% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.83% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)55.16% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Frosinone 25.97%
    Roma 48.3%
    Draw 25.72%
FrosinoneDrawRoma
1-0 @ 8.05% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 6.36% (0.043 0.04)
2-0 @ 4.19% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.21% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.45% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 25.97%
1-1 @ 12.22% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.74% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 11.75% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.28% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.92% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.7% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 4.52% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.45% (0.008 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.72% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 48.3%

How you voted: Frosinone vs Roma

Frosinone
10.8%
Draw
11.7%
Roma
77.5%
120
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Roma
2-0
Frosinone
Lukaku (21'), Pellegrini (83')
Karsdorp (64')

Barrenechea (46'), Soule (81')
Feb 23, 2019 7.30pm
Gameweek 25
Frosinone
2-3
Roma
Ciano (5'), Pinamonti (80')
Goldaniga (68'), Cassata (78')
Dzeko (30', 90'), Pellegrini (31')
El Shaarawy (39'), Dzeko (42')
Sep 26, 2018 8pm
Gameweek 6
Roma
4-0
Frosinone
Under (2'), Pastore (28'), El Shaarawy (35'), Kolarov (87')

Campbell (90')
Jan 30, 2016 7.45pm
Roma
3-1
Frosinone
Nainggolan (18'), El Shaarawy (48'), Pjanic (84')
Manolas (41')
Ciofani (24')
Ajeti (15'), Dionisi (64')
Sep 12, 2015 5pm
Frosinone
0-2
Roma

Diakite (40'), Pavlovic (65'), Rosi (76'), Leali (94')
Falque (44'), Iturbe (93')
Falque (27'), Totti (38'), De Rossi (64')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan15104140152534
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio1610153023731
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna167722318528
8AC Milan167542516926
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino175481722-519
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1750122140-1915
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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