Having seen Brighton take four points off the two Manchester clubs, we think that the Seagulls will produce another competitive display on Sunday. However, we think that the Gunners will still have the extra-quality required to edge out their hosts and claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 84.78%. A draw had a probability of 10% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion Women had a probability of 5.23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 0-3 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 0-4 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.55%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion Women win it was 2-1 (1.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Arsenal Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Arsenal Women.

Result
Brighton & Hove Albion Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
5.23% ( 0.07)	9.98% ( -0.02)	84.78% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 50.02% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.49% (

0.54)

24.51% (

-0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.72% (

0.71)

44.27% (

-0.72)

Brighton & Hove Albion Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.11% (

0.72)

47.89% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.85% (

0.52)

83.15% (

-0.53)

Arsenal Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.99% (

0.08)

4.01% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

83.09% (

0.27)

16.9% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Brighton & Hove Albion Women 5.23%

Arsenal Women 84.77%

Draw 9.98%

Brighton & Hove Albion Women	Draw	Arsenal Women
2-1 @ 1.67% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.15% Total : 5.23%	1-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.82% Total : 9.98%	0-3 @ 10.64% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( -0.23) 0-4 @ 8.56% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 6.31% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.19) 0-5 @ 5.51% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 4.06% ( 0.07) 0-6 @ 2.95% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.07) 1-6 @ 2.18% ( 0.05) 2-5 @ 1.49% ( 0.06) 0-7 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 1-7 @ 1% ( 0.03) Other @ 4.25% Total : 84.77%