Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Burnley4 - 0Luton
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cardiff 1-2 Burnley
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in Championship
Goals
for
for
32
We said: Burnley 2-0 Luton Town
While Luton would have been buoyed by their recent win over Portsmouth, Saturday's fixture against a promotion contender represents a much tougher test, especially as they have lost 13 of the last 14 away league games. We ultimately believe that the hosts will have the extra quality required to maintain their unbeaten home league record with a relatively comfortable victory. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 62.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 14.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.85%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
62.54% ( 0.91) | 22.6% ( -0.42) | 14.86% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 43.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.07% ( 0.72) | 53.93% ( -0.72) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.62% ( 0.6) | 75.38% ( -0.6) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.22% ( 0.57) | 16.78% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.27% ( 1.01) | 46.73% ( -1.02) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.93% ( -0.26) | 48.07% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 16.72% ( -0.19) | 83.28% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
Burnley 62.54%
Luton Town 14.86%
Draw 22.6%
| Burnley | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 14.39% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 12.85% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.22)3-1 @ 5.6% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 3.41% ( 0.16)4-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.08)4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 62.54% | 1-1 @ 10.54% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 8.06% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.54% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.21) 1-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.98% Total : 14.86% |
How you voted: Burnley vs Luton
Burnley
75.0%Draw
11.1%Luton Town
13.9%72
